Bayes Theorem
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Bayes Theorem is defined as "a theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihoods of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result".[1]
Calculations
Disease | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Present | Absent | |||
Test result | Positive | cell a | cell b | Total with a positive test |
Negative | cell c | cell d | Total with a negative test | |
Total with disease | Total without disease |
References
- ↑ National Library of Medicine. Bayes Theorem. Retrieved on 2007-12-09.